Stock market today: Asian shares are mixed as markets brace for the US inflation report
Fed officials have said repeatedly that their upcoming decisions on interest rates will depend on the latest economic data, on inflation and the job market in particular.
Asian benchmarks mostly fell Thursday after shares declined on Wall Street and investors braced for a highly anticipated United States inflation report. Later in the day, the US government will give its monthly update on the inflation that consumers are experiencing. Economists expect to see an acceleration to 3.3 per cent in July from 3 per cent in June. Tina Teng, markets analyst at CMC Markets, called the looming update “a pivotal event for global markets.” Inflation in China also remains a huge concern. “A slowdown in consumer spending and high-interest rates remain issues for the global economy,” said Teng.
Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 added 0.8per cent to finish at 32,473.65. Australia's S and P/ASX 200 added 0.3 per cent to 7,357.40. South Korea's Kospi lost 0.3 per cent to 2,596.62. Hong Kong's Hang Seng slipped 0.2 per cent to 19,208.28, while the Shanghai Composite rose 0.3 per cent to 3,253.08. On Wall Street, the S and P 500 fell 31.67, or 0.7 per cent, to 4,467.71, for its sixth drop in seven days.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 191.13, or 0.5 per cent, to 35,123.36, and the Nasdaq composite sank 162.31, or 1.2 per cent, to 13,722.02 as Big Tech stocks led the declines.
Stocks have cooled in August since soaring 19.5per cent through the first seven months of the year. Several reasons are behind the mini-pullback, including criticism that Wall Street too quickly formed a consensus that inflation will keep cooling, the economy will keep growing and the Federal Reserve has already finished its hikes to interest rates. Economists say the last bit of improvement to get inflation down to the Fed's 2 per cent target may be the toughest part.
Fed officials have said repeatedly that their upcoming decisions on interest rates will depend on the latest economic data, on inflation and the job market in particular. “With risks turning increasingly two-sided, Fed officials are beginning to shift the focus toward how long to hold rates steady at sufficiently restrictive levels,” according to economists at Deutsche Bank.
A rise in inflation that's much worse than expected could raise fears that the Fed's job in battling inflation is far from done and that it may have to keep hiking interest rates. At the least, it could push the Fed to keep rates high for longer than expected. High rates slow inflation by grinding down the entire economy and hurting investment prices. The Fed has already pulled its federal funds rate to the highest level in more than two decades. Rate hikes historically take a long time to take full effect across the economy, so the risk of a recession still remains.
In the meantime, companies continue to offer profit reports for the spring that are mostly better than analysts expected, including Axon Enterprise — the company behind Tasers and Axon body cameras — and Akamai Technologies. Nvidia was the heaviest weight on the S and P 500, falling 4.7 per cent.
The chipmaker is one of the stocks that have rocketed this year due to Wall Street's frenzy around artificial intelligence technology, raising fears that they went too far. Other Big Tech stocks also fell, and their movements pack more punch on the S and P 500 because of their massive size. Amazon sank 1.5 per cent, Microsoft fell 1.2per cent and Tesla dropped 3per cent. The threat of high rates tends to hit technology and other high-growth stocks the hardest.
In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury slipped to 4.00per cent from 4.03 per cent late Tuesday. That yield helps set rates for mortgages and other loans.
The two-year Treasury yield, which moves more on expectations for action by the Fed, rose to 4.80 per cent from 4.76 per cent. In energy trading, benchmark US crude added 26 cents to USD 84.66 a barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, rose 24 cents to USD 87.79 a barrel. In currency trading, the US dollar edged up to 143.99 Japanese yen from 143.
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01:23 PM IST